Dave Turley’s First Alert Forecast for Thursday 8-14-2025.

by Dave Turley, Jamie Ertle

Heat Advisory in effect until 6pm. Heat index values will be around 110 for some. Make sure to stay hydrated and take plenty of breaks if working outside. High pressure will be the main weather feature today. We’ll start to see more of a sea breeze pattern set up. That means our best rain chances will be in the afternoon/early evening hours. Rain may be briefly heavy with any storms but should wind down quickly after sunset which is just after 8pm. Temps warm back into the low 90s today with heat index values well over 100. Our average high is now 91. A cold front moves into the area Friday night and dissipates Saturday. This will bring in more clouds and a better chance for scattered showers and storms. Highs will also be a little cooler in the upper 80s to low 90s. We dry out by Monday as temps continue in the low 90s.

Today will be partly cloudy with a 20% chance for showers and storms, highs in the low 90s.

Tonight will be partly cloudy with a 10% chance for showers and storms, lows in the mid 70s.

Friday will be partly to mostly cloudy with a 40% chance for showers and storms, highs in the low to mid 90s.

Friday night will be partly cloudy with a 10% chance for showers and storms, lows in the mid 70s.

Saturday will be partly to mostly cloudy with a 60% chance for showers and storms, highs near 90.

Saturday night will be partly cloudy with a 20% chance for showers and storms, lows in the mid 70s.

Sunday will be partly cloudy with a 40% chance for showers and storms, highs near 90.

Sunday night will be mostly clear, lows in the mid 70s.

Monday will be mostly sunny with a 10% chance for showers and storms, highs in the low 90s.

Monday night will be mostly clear, lows in the low 70s.

Tuesday will be mostly sunny with a 20% chance for showers and storms, highs in the low 90s.

Tuesday night will be mostly clear, lows in the mid 70s.

Wednesday will be mostly sunny with a 20% chance for showers and storms, highs in the low 90s.

Coastal Waters Forecast: Today: SW winds at 10-15 kt becoming S late. Seas: 2-3 ft. Tonight: SW winds at 10-15 kt. Seas: 2-3 ft.

A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and storms over the Bay of Campeche . There is a 20% chance for tropical development as the system moves to the west-northwest over the next couple of days before moving inland over northern Mexico and South Texas. Tropical Storm Erin is located over the central tropical Atlantic. Erin is forecast to become a major hurricane this weekend moving just north of Puerto Rico. At this time most computer models continue to turn Erin to the north next week and keep it well off the east coast of the US. Continue to get regular updates to make sure that turn occurs.