Dave Turley’s First Alert Weather forecast for Sunday, October 4, 2026

A cold front will slowly push south of the area Monday and stall over central Florida all week. Plenty of moisture will bring high rain chances tonight into Monday afternoon. An additional 2-4″ of rain is possible. A Flood Watch is in effect for all counties south of the Altamaha River until Monday at 8am. Most computer models begin to dry our from north to south. The question is how far south does the rain go. Right now we’ll keep a higher rain chance south of I16 Monday night and Tuesday. Low pressure is forecast to develop along the front off the Florida coast Tuesday into Wednesday. This will bring coastal concerns with high surf, seas, rip currents and beach erosion. We keep it mostly cloudy but drier Wednesday and Thursday. Rain chances begin to increase again Friday. Tropical Gulf moisture will move over the area this weekend as we watch possible tropical development in the Gulf. Our forecast will depend on exactly how this plays out so stay tuned for updates.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy with an 80% chance for showers and storms, lows near 70.

Monday will be cloudy with a 90% chance for showers and storms, highs in the mid 70s.

Monday night will be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance for showers, lows in the mid 60s.

Tuesday will be partly to mostly cloudy with a 50% chance for showers and storms, highs in the mid 70s.

Tuesday night will be partly cloudy with a 10% chance for showers, lows around 60.

Wednesday will be mostly cloudy with a 20% chance for showers, highs in the upper 70s.

Wednesday night will be mostly cloudy with a 10% chance for showers, lows in the low 60s.

Thursday will be mostly cloudy, highs in the low 80s.

Thursday night will be mostly cloudy, lows in the low 60s.

Friday will be mostly cloudy with a 20% chance for showers, highs in the low 80s.

Friday night will be mostly cloudy with a 20% chance for showers, lows in the mid 60s.

Saturday will be mostly cloudy with a 70% chance for showers and storms, highs in the upper 70s.

Saturday night will be cloudy with a 60% chance for showers and storms, lows in the mid 60s.

Coastal Waters Forecast: GALE WATCH in effect Monday night through Wednesday morning. Tonight: E winds at 5 kt becoming NW late this evening then SW at 5 kt after midnight. Seas: 2 ft. Monday: NE winds at 5-10 kt increasing to 10-15 kt in the afternoon. Seas: 2 ft.

Tropical Outlook: Low pressure is likely to form in the southwestern Gulf by the middle of the week. There is 40% chance for tropical development as the area drifts northward.